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The Full moon and Hurricane Sandy

WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 31, 2012

HOW IT WORKS

We all know what a full moon is. But there are other cycles to the moon that we can't see unless we look carefully. As well as the full moon-new moon cycle of 29.5 days there's the Perigee cycle, in which the moon comes closer to earth and further away, over a cycle of 27.5 days, and the Declination cycle, which is that the moon crosses from one hemisphere to the other over 27.3 days.

 

The main cycle is the perigee, which is about the moon coming closer. That day usually supplies the greatest intensity of extreme weather systems in that month.

 

There is a tide in the air, just as there is a tide in the sea. The air and sea are joined as an interfacing and interactive one system. Meteorologists have long known that weather balloons float higher on kingtide days, because on the day of kingtide of the sea there is also a kingtide in the air.

 

Readers will recall that two days ago was the kingtide. The water height (kingtide) was at unusually high level at exactly the same time that the air was of record low pressure - the barometric reading reached a record 945 mbs.

 

This was no remarkable coincidence. It happens every month. It is the proof that air and sea are joined. It is not at all unusual for there to be a storm system around the same day as a kingtide. This used to be taught to mariners, and air and harbour pilots, and can be found in old training manuals. The moon, air and water work together.

 

Perigee exaggerates both the sea and the air tide, creating a lower air height when the moon is out of the sky which enables the searing heat of the summer sun at the equator to come closer to the surface of the sea at or near the equator. This in turn allows the temperature at the sea’s surface to reach the required 79F (26°C) that is needed to activate massive evaporation within 6° latitude of the equator to create a Hurricane. In comparison, the average surface temperature of the ocean is only 61F (16°C).

 

But it doesn't happen without a powerful perigee, and the October perigee was the closest the moon has been to the earth since June, and the northern hurricane season runs from around June to November. So even though it's late in the season, the intensity of Hurricane Sandy has been because of October's extra-close proximity of the moon to earth.

 

 

HURRICANE SANDY

Sandy formed right on Perigee day 17 October, it was also new moon that day. Perigee supplies intensity, and it made Sandy pop into view in the eastern Caribbean Sea on the 17 Oct.  She became a tropical wave within 2 days and then another moon factor kicked in. Due to the Declination cycle, (moon trekking from one hemisphere to the other), about the time Sandy got her head of steam up, the moon started coming north and picking up speed, and Sandy hitched a ride.

 

The full moon halted her progress because the Kingtide of the full moon brought her over land and when these things leave the sea they lose their strength because they can't suck any more water up.

 

Consequently Sandy was always going to be history by Full Moon day 29th, losing her eye and at the same time her hurricane status. As her remnants went ashore, winds immediately dropped.

 

 

OTHER HURRICANES

A quick look at this year’s hurricanes reveals the commonality in patterns; they all required perigee for strength and maximisation.

 

Hurricane Sandy was exactly the same as Hurricane Isaac in August, which used the Perigee of the 24 Aug to build on, and Isaac also finished on the day of Full moon.

 

We also had, in the same time frame, Hurricane Kirk, dying on Full Moon day 31 August.

Before that, 48 hours after Perigee day 29 July, we had something called “Tropical Depression 5” develop into Hurricane “Ernesto”.

 

And we all remember Hurricane Katrina in 2005. 19 August was the Perigee, and Katrina was named 4 days later (on the 23rd), and Katrina finished a week later because on the 28th the moon started to come south, which meant all the strength went out of Katrina,  and a week to 10 days is a typical life span

 

Down here we had Cyclone Monica in 2006, then an 18-year moon cycle back to 1988 and Cyclone Bola which formed on 17 February, the New Moon/Perigee day - Bola died on Full Moon day 3 March.

Going back another moon cycle takes us to 1970 which saw a huge cyclone around here called Ada, which knocked the stuffing out of eastern Australia.

Going back another moon cycle to 1952 we find two cyclones hitting Queensland on 24 January, and no surprise, the perigee was within 48 hours, on 26th, also new moon.

 

Is it just massive coincidence that each and every hurricane/cyclone we look at are perigee-driven, or are these just the exceptions? When does coincidence become correlation and enter scientific reality?

 

 

CYCLES

The moon creates the timing, but the sun provides the heat. Now, in terms of cycles, you could say that Katrina and Rita in 2005 were a return of Hurricane Camille in 1969 to the Louisiana region, which was exactly 36 years previously, 35-36 years being both the sun's Solar System Barycentre cycle (SSB) and about two moon cycles back (moon cycles are 18-19 years).

 

The SSB is caused by the planets Jupiter and Saturn getting on opposite sides of the sun that can be compared to the full moon being on the opposite side of the earth to the sun. The full moon-earth-sun alignment creates on earth the kingtide, and the Jupiter-sun-Saturn alignment creates a king tide of energy on the sun, repeating the next time it comes back around in two decades, and we on Earth receive the cataclysmic effect of that. Consequently we often get extreme weather events repeating every 36 years. 

 

For example, 36 years before Camille in 1969, we had in 1933 the Chesapeake Bay disaster.

We can also look at the Asian tsunami earthquake in 2004. The last time there was an earthquake as powerful in that Sumatra area was the 8.3mag in 1968, 36 years previously.

 

 

WHY NOT REPORTED MORE WIDELY

All the recent northern hemisphere season hurricanes can be plotted along moon lines. To continue to ignore the moon is the greatest scientific gaff of the previous century, and still ongoing, that the moon has been factored out of all weather models.

 

But cycles simply do not sell newspapers. Scare stories do. We read and hear the phrase "Worst since records began!", or "Worst in living memory!" so very often these days. It is the media’s bread and butter.

 

It's not to take away from all the suffering that people are having, and our hearts go out to each and every one, but I'm claiming that perhaps these calamities can be plotted ahead of time, and that means preparations may be made to evacuate people in time. A million people were evacuated by the Japanese government just before the earthquake tsunami rolled in.

 

To give credit where due, the arrival of Hurricane Sandy was warned of by mainstream forecasters, and the coverage was excellent, but not from back far enough for the knowledge to have been uitlised.  On the other hand astro-meteorologists like Ken Paone predicted this storm as far back as 26 May - scroll down to "October 28-30"

http://www.theweatheralternative.blogspot.co.nz/2012/05/long-range-effects-of-may-20-2012-solar_26.html.

 

If meteorologists had been aware say, a month ago, or back in July about Sandy, would US weather scientists have issued warnings? Whilst internationally we share the grief Sandy has caused, and let us seek to become more informed of possible future events.

 

A good start would be to take another look at the moon.

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ALTERED (for reasons of space) VERSION OF ARTICLE APPEARING ON YAHOO, with blog comments

 

The moon controls the timing of weather events. Hurricane Sandy peaked on the exact day of Full moon.

 

Perigees (day of moon closest to earth for the month) supply intensity of extreme weather systems. Perigee exaggerates the air tide, creating lower air height and enabling the searing heat of the equatorial summer sun to come closer to the surface of the sea at or near the equator.

 

This in turn allows the temperature at the sea’s surface to reach the required 26°C that is needed to activate massive evaporation within 6° latitude of the equator to create a cyclone. In comparison, the average surface temperature of the ocean is only 16°C. Hurricane Sandy has been running true to the rules of the moon. Hurricanes, cyclones and typhoons, all one and the same thing, happen with Full/New Moons and involve Perigees.

 

Right on Perigee day 17 October, Sandy popped into the eastern Caribbean Sea.  At first a low pressure area, extra heat from the moon’s Southern Declination of 19th allowed Sandy to become a tropical wave within 2 days. The southern moon trekking north on 21 October pulled Sandy towards the US mainland.  The Full Moon halted her progress.

 

Hurricane Sandy is near the end of the northern hemisphere hurricane season which runs from June to November. Sandy formed because the October Perigee was a powerful 6th-closest to earth for 2012.

 

Sandy was always going to be losing the fight to stay relevant after Perigee day 17 October. Her edge would brush the mainland, but not her brunt. Consequently Sandy was always going to be history by Full Moon day 29th, losing her eye and at the same time hurricane status. As her remnants went ashore the winds immediately dropped.

 

A quick look at this year’s hurricanes reveals the commonality in patterns; and the reader may see that hurricanes are New or Full Moon-related in instigation, and require Perigee for strength and maximisation.

 

The season started with Subtropical Storm “Beryl” on New Moon day 21 May, and although Beryl ran out of puff in a week, Perigee/Full Moon day 4 June made remnants of Beryl intensify into a new storm in the east.

 

On Northern Declination/New Moon day 19 June, the US National Hurricane Center renamed Tropical Storm Chris as “Hurricane Chris” although it only lasted 3 days then withered .

 

Two days after Perigee day 29 July, a system called Tropical Depression 5 developed into “Hurricane Ernesto”, becoming Tropical Storm Ernesto on Full Moon day 2 August, striking Mexico on 9 August and dying the next day.

 

“Hurricane Gordon” peaked as a Category 2 hurricane on New Moon day 18 August, then immediately started weakening, displaced by a new system called Tropical Depression-9 on 21 August and intensifying on Perigee day 24 August. It developed its eye the next day, the 25th, shortly before making landfall at Haiti and subsequently dying.

 

“Hurricane Kirk” developed in the same time frame, dying on Full Moon day 31 August. This Full Moon saw two other systems start, one becoming “Hurricane Leslie” two days later, affecting Newfoundland and Canada but only lasting another week, and another called “Hurricane Michael” with the same duration, affecting the Cape VerdeIslands.

 

“Hurricane Isaac” also started on New Moon day 18 August, its eye developing on 24 August(Perigee 23 August) and dying as an extratropical cyclone over Missouri on 31 August, the day of Full Moon, exactly as Hurricane Sandy has done.

 

On 15 September, only one day before New Moon day 16 September, saw “Hurricane Nadine” named. The wind-field became larger than average on Perigee day 19 September, after which Nadine transitioned to a subtropical cyclone on 21 September.

 

On 15 October, “Hurricane Rafael” strengthened into a Category-1 hurricane the day before New Moon/Perigee of 16th/17 October. The storm intensified east of Bermuda, reaching peak winds of 150 km/h exactly on that New Moon/Perigee day. Soon after, it began to weaken to become an extratropical cyclone later in the day of 17 October.

 

Our own 1988 “Cyclone Bola” formed on 17 February, the New Moon/Perigee day. Bola took 10 days to reach hurricane-force, and died on Full Moon day 3 March, the remnants passing to the north of the North Island of New Zealand on March 8.  Bola continued to weaken and was finally absorbed by a stationary trough near the South Island on March 12.

 

Cyclones “Fergus” in the last days of December 1996, and two weeks later “Dreena” in January 1997.  Fergus formed straight after 24 December (day of Full Moon + Northern Declination). Dreena was at its most destructive 10-12 January, due to New Moon/Perigee 9-10 January, hardly any coincidence.

 

So why is it that meteorologists do not recognise the moon in forecasting? The answer, when it comes to science and truth is money.  Cycles simply do not sell newspapers. Scare stories do. We read and hear the phrase "Worst since records began!", or "Worst in living memory!" so very often these days. It is the media’s bread and butter.  If it was more widely known that such storms have happened often before, as would be the situation in the case of a cycle, then such headlines would be more readily recognised as science lies.

 

It is perhaps the greatest scientific gaff of the previous century, and still ongoing, that the moon has been factored out of all weather models.  But meteorologists have put themselves in an impossible and invidious position, because to admit the moon’s role now would put egg on their faces.

 

 

To add comments about this article, please click on http://nz.news.yahoo.com/opinion/post/-/blog/15260844/the-full-moon-and-hurricane-sandy/#comments

For all other queries, email ken@predictweather.com

 


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