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A smoking gun?


Geonet are NZ's official earthquake experts. On their website
they have shown that the number of significant earthquakes (in brackets below) increased the most on the full moon day of 18 February. Here is their list: February 19th(3), 18th - Full Moon(9), 17th(1), 16th(1), 15th(5), 14th(0), 13th(0), 12th(0), 11th(1), 10th(3), 9th(2), 8th(1), 7th(2), 6th(1).  We might also note that the Te Anau earthquake of 8 July 2009 was also on a full moon day.

Further to discussing the moon's role, the University of Canterbury has posted a graph showing the earthquake/moon link and have invited discussion by urging readers to come to their own conclusions.



Geonet's websites are easy to read and their archives are well catalogued and helpful. Although they are understandably reluctant to admit lunar correlations, we do not mind pointing them out. Science is, after all, a forum for ideas.

We saved the graph to file and got an image to work with. Then we added the lunar information, and found that on most peaks over the months since September there were corresponding strong increases in earthquake activity to full moon, new moon, perigee, apogee, or southern declination, which are all times of greatest lunar forces.

KEY: P=perigee(moon closest to earth for month: moon gravity strongest), A=apogee(moon furthest from earth for month: earth gravity strongest), F=full moon, N=new moon, V=southern declination(moon directly overhead southern hemisphere) To read the graph, e.g. F=23/9 means full moon on 23 September, or P+N=8/9 means a perogee and a new moon occurred on 8 September.

For November and December there is no energy peak, but the numbers of earthquakes increased just over those full moon days and then decreased again. In short, over the intervening months between last September and now, a moon event seems to have correlated with nearly all peaks in earthquake energy and/or numbers.

The graph is a solid indication that moon events, namely F, N, P, A, V and especially combinations of 2 or more of these, represent earthquake-risk intervals.


(Thanks to University of Canterbury).  Join discussion of this on our Facebook page:

The moon has a tidal effect that is seen in earthquakes because it is the tide under the earth within the outer mantle and molten core that is changing as to the moon. The land-crust rides on top of the molten part as the daily land tide. The sea flows and sloshes around the land and the ocean tide is the only tide we can actually see. It is only a short step in logic to the role of the moon influencing/controlling land movement to movement of the more movable water, and as air and sea are joined, to the even more movable air-tides and the monthly patterns of weather.

Earthquakes can be predicted
I have just been alerted to this website:
The author, an Indian scientist called Amit, lists Moon, Sun and Planets as the factors involved. He claims that aftershocks increase after a big one, on 7 days, 15, 23 and 1 month. Let's see how that stacks up. The Christchurch Earthquake was on 4 Sept at 4.30am, arguably right on moonrise, which was 3.38am, because it would have taken about three quarters of an hour for the earthquake to achieve the momentum of 650 kilotons which then rumbled-on into Christchurch. Was moonrise the trigger?
4th + 7.5 days later? On the 12th was the next biggest aftershock =137 metric tonnes.
4th + 1 month? On October 4th at 10.21pm was an unusually large aftershock =492 metric tonnes.

It is perhaps time the debate about this is made public and not suppressed. We have made a free 230-page book available as a pdf download. Click

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